The Logic Behind The Science Of Weather Forecast
Daily life dictates that people rely on the knowledge provided by the meteorologist in order to harmonically co-exist with the, often, temperamental weather. There are three methods used to predict the weather into those temperatures that you comprehend. Namely climatology, analog and numerical weather prediction.
How Analog Method is Used
This one is characterized by utilizing past weather records to determine present day. For instance, there could have been a day that was cold early morning and then later became hot but with cloudiness. Should the present day start off the same way, then the assumption could be that it will most likely turn out like a day in the past, after records were reviewed.
The Techniques of Climatology
This technique also involves elements of the past to determine the present, however, it is more of a numbers game. Furthermore, it differs in that it relies on statistical usage. If you want to know how the weather will be on the 25 of December this year, you would need to go through past records from previous years, then calculate the average of all those temperatures. This should help you get a pretty close to accurate prediction.
Numerical Weather Prediction
This one is a tad bit more intricate, it is not as simple as revising the past for the present. Computer programs are used to do this. In true meteorology jargon, these are called forecast models, utilised on supercomputers to help meteorologists decipher how the weather will be. They are able to measure variables such as temperature, rainfall, pressure and wind. This method is said to be the best one of all but it is not for newer forecasters, it is more for those that have been on the scene for a while. It is not everyone who will have the opportunity to access the type of computer that is required.